| Type | # | Velo | Max | IVB | HB | Spin | rTilt | Ht | Side | VAA | HAA | Ext | Stuff+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 44 | 95.1 (-0.4) | 98.0 | 16.7" | 14.6" | 2601 | 4:28 | 6.28 | +1.22 | -4.9° | -0.1° | 6.1' | 154 |
| FC | 7 | 88.7 (-1.6) | 90.1 | 6.2" | -0.1" | 2666 | 4:54 | 6.12 | +1.60 | -6.7° | -1.7° | 6.1' | 75 |
| SL | 13 | 84.5 (-0.2) | 86.6 | -3.5" | -2.0" | 2717 | 10:47 | 6.14 | +1.51 | -8.8° | -1.8° | 6.0' | 99 |
| KC | 17 | 79.8 (-0.6) | 81.7 | -13.1" | -11.5" | 2449 | 10:56 | 6.29 | +1.42 | -9.9° | -2.5° | 6.0' | 120 |
| CH | 14 | 84.1 (-0.4) | 85.4 | 12.4" | 16.8" | 2026 | 3:59 | 6.20 | +1.34 | -6.8° | +0.3° | 6.2' | 134 |
| # | Pitcher | Pitches | FF Velo | K% | BB% | K-BB% | CSW% | Whiff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunter Harvey | 79 | 95.3 | 41.2% | 0.0% | 41.2% | 31.6% | 11.4% |
| 2 | Cole Ragans | 712 | 95.5 | 38.0% | 7.6% | 30.4% | 32.0% | 15.6% |
| 3 | Lucas Erceg | 240 | 97.9 | 22.8% | 1.8% | 21.1% | 24.2% | 10.4% |
| 4 | John Schreiber | 231 | 93.5 | 26.2% | 8.2% | 18.0% | 29.9% | 12.1% |
| 5 | Kris Bubic | 729 | 92.2 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 17.6% | 30.6% | 13.7% |
| 6 | Carlos Estévez | 287 | 95.1 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 22.3% | 7.3% |
| 7 | Michael Lorenzen | 732 | 94.3 | 20.7% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 27.3% | 11.3% |
| 8 | Taylor Clarke | 61 | 95.1 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 26.2% | 6.6% |
| 9 | Seth Lugo | 768 | 92.0 | 18.4% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 27.1% | 7.7% |
| 10 | Michael Wacha | 696 | 93.2 | 18.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 9.6% |
| 11 | Steven Cruz | 134 | 98.1 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 21.6% | 10.4% |
| 12 | Chris Stratton | 295 | 91.0 | 19.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 27.8% | 12.5% |
| 13 | Angel Zerpa | 296 | 95.4 | 16.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 24.0% | 4.4% |
| 14 | Sam Long | 159 | 93.5 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 23.3% | 6.9% |
| 15 | Daniel Lynch IV | 262 | 94.0 | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 27.5% | 9.9% |
| 16 | Noah Cameron | 79 | 92.1 | 12.0% | 20.0% | -8.0% | 17.7% | 6.3% |
| # | Count | Pitch | Velo | IVB | HB | Location | Result |
|---|
Generating
| From \ To | FF | FC | SL | KC | CH | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 17 49% | 1 3% | 7 20% | 6 17% | 4 11% | 35 |
| FC | 3 60% | 0 0% | 1 20% | 1 20% | 0 0% | 5 |
| SL | 4 33% | 2 17% | 1 8% | 3 25% | 2 17% | 12 |
| KC | 4 40% | 0 0% | 1 10% | 2 20% | 3 30% | 10 |
| CH | 5 56% | 1 11% | 0 0% | 0 0% | 3 33% | 9 |
| Pitch | 2K Count | Ks | Putaway% | Whiff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 16 | 3 | 19% | 6% |
| FC | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| SL | 6 | 1 | 17% | 17% |
| KC | 9 | 3 | 33% | 22% |
| CH | 4 | 1 | 25% | 25% |
| Pitch | BIP | Avg EV | Hard-Hit% | Barrel% | xwOBAcon | xSLGcon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 5 | 82.2 | 40% | 0% | 0.434 | 0.626 |
| FC | 2 | 107.9 | 100% | 0% | 0.402 | 0.479 |
| KC | 2 | 86.6 | 50% | 0% | 0.411 | 0.478 |
| CH | 4 | 94.5 | 50% | 25% | 0.211 | 0.287 |
| Type | # | Velo | Max | IVB | HB | Spin | rTilt | Ht | Side | VAA | HAA | Ext | Stuff+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FF | 534 | 95.3 | 98.6 | 17.0" | 13.8" | 2573 | 4:29 | 6.22 | +1.19 | -4.7° | -0.1° | 6.2' | 154 |
| FC | 51 | 89.9 | 92.6 | 8.1" | -0.3" | 2585 | 4:58 | 6.03 | +1.48 | -6.5° | -1.9° | 6.2' | 75 |
| SL | 149 | 84.7 | 88.4 | -2.5" | -1.8" | 2651 | 9:51 | 6.07 | +1.46 | -8.7° | -2.2° | 6.1' | 99 |
| KC | 138 | 80.1 | 83.1 | -13.1" | -11.5" | 2462 | 10:59 | 6.22 | +1.31 | -10.2° | -2.6° | 6.1' | 120 |
| CH | 207 | 84.4 | 87.6 | 11.5" | 16.2" | 2069 | 3:59 | 6.09 | +1.28 | -7.2° | +0.4° | 6.3' | 134 |
Ragans struggled significantly today against Boston, marking his worst start of the season with a D+ grade. His 31.6% CSW dropped well below his season norm of 32.0% and his recent hot stretch (38.5% vs MIN, 38.2% vs CLE). The 4.2 IP with 7 hits represents a concerning step backward after his dominant April performances.
Velocity and Mechanical Concerns: His four-seamer sat at 95.1 mph, down from his season average of 95.5 mph and well below his recent 96.2-96.4 mph peak in mid-April. The cutter velocity drop is alarming - 88.7 mph versus 90.4 mph season norm, losing nearly 2 ticks. This suggests fatigue or mechanical inefficiency that needs immediate attention.
Pitch Mix Issues: He leaned too heavily on the fastball at 46.3% usage, abandoning what's been working. His changeup was electric (50.0% CSW, 35.7% SwStr%) but he threw only 14 of them. The sequencing was problematic - using the slider heavily against lefties (32.3%) while underutilizing his plus changeup (3.2% vs LHB). Against righties, he threw knuckle curves 23.4% of the time but they generated only 11.8% whiffs.
Stuff Quality: Despite velocity concerns, his changeup (134 Stuff+) and fastball (154 Stuff+) still grade as plus offerings. The cutter (75 Stuff+) was well below average and should be shelved until velocity returns.
Actionable Recommendations:
Hey Cole - tough outing today, but let's focus on the positives first. You still punched out 8 guys in less than 5 innings, and your changeup was absolutely filthy. That 35.7% whiff rate on the changeup shows you've got a weapon that can get anybody out when you trust it.
Your four-seamer still has great life with that 154 Stuff+ rating, so don't worry about the slight velocity dip - that happens over the course of a season. The bigger thing is you got away from what's been working for you. Remember those dominant starts against Minnesota and Cleveland where you mixed your pitches more aggressively?
Two things to focus on for next time: First, trust that changeup more, especially against lefties. You threw it only once to lefties today, but it's getting huge whiffs and keeping hitters off balance. Second, when your cutter isn't feeling right (like today), don't force it - lean into your slider and changeup combo instead.
You're still our strikeout king with a 38% K-rate that leads the entire staff by a mile. Boston has some tough hitters, and sometimes they get you. The stuff is still there - just need to sequence it better and trust your best pitches. You've shown you can dominate this season, and this is just one bump in the road.
Cole's 55% strike rate is significantly below the 62% starter threshold, directly impacting his walk rate and overall efficiency. This between-starts session targets command precision and first-pitch strike consistency through structured zone work and feedback-driven drills [strike_percentage_program].